NASCAR DFS Picks – Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview – Sunday May 24, 2020

There are three races left in the month of May, and up next is the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 which is set to start on Sunday May 24th at 6:00PM ET. The last NASCAR DFS contest that I played was for the Toyota 500, which went pretty well. My top lineup on Fanduel came in 165th out of 22,982 entries, and I was able to cash several other lineups as well. I also gave out a free Fanduel lineup that came in 2,411th place and cashed for $15!

Kyle Busch, who was at the center of controversy after i̶n̶t̶e̶n̶t̶i̶o̶n̶a̶l̶l̶y̶  accidentally wrecking Chase Elliot, was my best play for the Toyota 500. I knew that ownership was going to be way too low on Kyle and he did not disappoint from a fantasy perspective. I also said that Erik Jones was a no brainer, which proved to be true as he continued to impress at Darlington. My pick of Daniel Suarez wasn’t great, but I still like the potential of having a pick like that to differentiate from the field.

Unfortunately, we won’t know the qualifying order for this upcoming race until a few hours before the start. This will have a significant impact on fantasy, so I will be setting my lineups at that point. I will make sure to tweet out my favorite plays on Twitter @TonyLavenderML after we get the qualifying results. For now, I’ll once again look to identify some DFS GPP picks that I think are viable for this race and I’ll hope to find ways to differentiate from the public. My picks may change a bit, but this should give you an idea of how I’m planning to attack this slate.


Favorite Picks of the Slate


Martin Truex Jr. ($13,700 FD / $10,600 DK)

Martin Truex Jr. typically dominates this race at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Last year, he finished in 1st place after leading for 116 laps. He also finished 2nd place in 2018, and 3rd place in 2017, so he has been consistent in this spot. I usually don’t spend much time in my blogs on chalk picks that are really obvious, but Truex Jr. needs to be in a majority of your lineups. Sure, you should have some lineups without him in case of disaster, but Truex Jr. is the guy you want to hammer in this race. A top 5 or even top 3 finish seems close to a guarantee given the success that he has had at this track. He has also looked very solid recently and we’ve seen just how fast his car can go. Truex Jr. is the second most expensive option on Fanduel, and is relatively cheaper on Draftkings, so I absolutely prefer him on DK. My plan is for about 75% ownership, and the qualifying order shouldn’t affect anything.


Aric Almirola ($8,300 FD / $7,500 DK)

Aric Almirola is incredibly cheap on both Fanduel & Draftkings, and I love him in this spot. He has looked excellent at the Coca-Cola 600, including an 11th place finish in 2019 and a 13th place finish in 2018. I’m really hoping that Almirola is not towards the top for the qualifying run. However, I’m really confident in Almirola’s ability at this track regardless of any risk/upside associated with his place differential. He has a good chance for a top 10 finish, and his price is low enough that it will allow you to spend up for more expensive options as well. I think this play makes a ton of sense, and if Almirola ends up with a starting position in the middle or back, then I think he has potential to be the best play on this slate. I’ll have close to 33% ownership.


Daniel Suarez ($4,500 FD / $6,100 DK)

Yep – I know it didn’t work out last time, but I’m going back to Daniel Suarez for this race. He has been priced up a little bit on Fanduel, but Suarez is still extremely cheap and worth looking at. Most importantly, he has been pretty good at Charlotte Motor Speedway. In the 2017 Coca-Cola 600, Suarez finished in 11th place. He followed that up by finishing in 15th place two years ago, and last year he finished in 18th place. At such a low price for DFS, even a top 20 finish for Suarez would be fine, which means there is plenty of upside. I expect his public ownership to be very low, probably around 2-3% overall, so this play can be used to differentiate your lineup from the field. I do want to make sure that Suarez does not end up with a top starting spot from the qualifying run, so that I can avoid the risk of losing fantasy points from place differential. I really like taking a few shots on Suarez at such a cheap price, and I will probably have close to 20% ownership.


Kyle Busch ($14,000 FD / $11,500 DK)


Kyle Busch is the most expensive option on Fanduel & Draftkings, so he isn’t much of an under-the-radar play. After some recent lackluster performances, Busch was back to looking great at the Toyota 500, and he might have had a chance to win if the rain did not stop the race. Kyle wrecked Chase Elliot towards the end of that race, and many people believe that it was done on purpose. I think it was definitely intentional, but since Kyle Busch won me some money, I guess I am willing to look the other way in this case. Will there be retaliation? It is certainly a risk. I actually don’t expect it, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see an accident happen at the expense of Kyle Busch given this situation. Still, I’m not going to let that stop me from having heavy ownership. Busch has been elite in the Coca-Cola 600, with an impressive résumé including a 3rd place finish last year, a 1st place finish in 2018, and a 2nd place finish in 2017. Like I always say, I don’t like to bet against Kyle Busch, and I recommend hammering him in DFS because he has been so successful in the past. Qualifying doesn’t really matter to me here, because I like him so much no matter what. I’ll look to have close to 50% ownership. 

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