NASCAR DFS Picks – Toyota 500 at Darlington May 20, 2020

We’re back at Darlington for the NASCAR Toyota 500 race. I only played a few lineups on Sunday but was able to cash some of them. My best lineup finished in 7,573rd out of 67,426 entries for a $10 prize, which was nothing to get too excited about. I found some great value from John Hunter Nemechek, while Alex Bowman had a really good showing that had even more potential, and Ryan Blaney was a bit disappointing. I don’t typically play a lot of daily fantasy for NASCAR, but these are currently some of the biggest contests running on Fanduel & Draftkings, so hopefully we can find some value mainly taking a math-based approach. I will only be entering tournaments, so my picks are intended for GPPs rather than cash games.

 

Favorite Picks of the Slate

 

Daniel Suarez ($4,000 FD / $6,100 DK)

Daniel Suarez is a GPP play that I really like at such a cheap price. He is the absolute minimum on Fanduel at $4,000, and is relatively more expensive on Draftkings at $6,100, so I definitely prefer him on Fanduel. He had a pretty average performance on Sunday, finishing in 25th place while also spinning out on lap 125 (which some people thought was intentional). Suarez has experience at this track and has looked impressive at times, despite his lack of recent success at Darlington. Starting in the 25th position isn’t best case scenario from a DFS perspective, but I do think there is still plenty of place differential upside here. His ownership should be very low, especially compared to some of the other cheaper options on this slate, which makes him ideal for a tournament play. This is the type of play that will separate your lineups from the rest of the field, so hopefully Suarez can have a big day!

 

Joey Logano ($12,200 FD / $9,400 DK)

Joey Logano didn’t have a special performance on Sunday; however, I think this is a great spot for him on Wednesday. He has recently been just OK at Darlington, but he will be in the 3rd starting spot for this race which gives him massive scoring potential for fantasy. Logano is a logical play for DFS because he can easily move into 1st position in the beginning of this race, which would allow him to rack up fantasy points for laps led. He does carry some risk with respect to place differential, so I’d probably avoid him in cash games. We know that Logano is very competitive and I think that an early lead for a guy with that mentality could get him locked in, so I think Logano has a legitimate chance to finish in 1st place.

 

Kyle Busch ($13,000 FD /  $12,000 DK)

Kyle Busch is a really expensive option and he has not been in his best form recently, so some people may consider fading him here, and I understand that reasoning. However, he has done well at Darlington multiple times and I think it would be foolish to completely overlook him. He is starting in 26th and has potential to be a top scorer on this slate. Kyle Busch is simply not a guy that I like to bet against, so I will continue to have ownership. He failed pre-race inspection twice before Sunday’s race, which dropped him to the rear and really hurt his fantasy scoring potential. With that disadvantage no longer in effect, he should go right back to being one of the highest owned drivers, but I think that his ownership could still be lower than it probably should be. Do not be surprised if Kyle Busch dominates like we’ve seen in the past.

 
Erik Jones ($9,800 FD / $8,500 DK)

Erik Jones seems almost like a no brainer to me in this spot. He looked excellent on Sunday and earned an 8th place finish. Jones has had a ton of success at Darlington and there is no reason to think it won’t continue.  He will be starting in the 13th spot, which doesn’t give him much upside in terms of place differential. However, I fully expect him to be in the mix for much of the race and I do think a top 10 or even top 5 finish is likely. His price is pretty manageable since it is below the average per player on Fanduel, and just above the average per player on Draftkings. Jones makes a lot of sense to play in cash games as well, as a low-risk/high-upside option.

 

Here’s my favorite Fanduel lineup:

 

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