NASCAR DFS Picks – Alsco Uniforms 500 Betting Preview – Wednesday May 27, 2020

The NASCAR races just keep on coming with the 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 being held on May 27th at 8PM ET at Charlotte Motor Speedway. In my last preview for the Coca-Cola 600, I stressed how crucial Martin Truex Jr. would be for DFS, and he did not let us down. I was also heavy on Aric Amirola, but he ended up as chalk anyway after grazing a wall in Qualifying and starting the race in the back. I posted free fantasy lineups on Twitter (@TonyLavenderML) and they both were in the money! My free Draftkings lineup came in 2,030th out of 98,039 entries and my free Fanduel lineup came in 4,830th out of 59,523 entries. We obviously hope to come in 1st place in GPPs, but these easy wins can help you sustain your bankroll!

I haven’t been as focused on the races with smaller prize pools, such as the Alsco 300 or the Truck Series NC Education Lottery 200, but I have noticed that the field seems to be pretty weak. There is a lack of perfect information for these races, which led to Jeff Green being close to 10% owned even though he tweeted that he would not be finishing the race. We can likely find edges in these contests and beat the field!

 

Favorite GPP Picks of the Slate

The biggest thing to note on this slate is the massive pricing difference between Fanduel & Draftkings. The qualifying positions have already been set for this race and Draftkings priced this information in, while Fanduel did not. This means that guys starting in the back with high upside for place differential are more expensive on Draftkings, so you can find better value in these spots on Fanduel. Thus, my favorite GPP plays are based on the site that you are playing on. Hopefully this analysis should give you an idea of how I plan on attacking this slate.

 

Fanduel – Clint Bowyer ($9,000) & Jimmie Johnson ($11,200)

Bowyer & Johnson will both be huge chalk on Fanduel, and you will most likely need one or both of them to have a winning lineup. Bowyer will be starting in 39th and Johnson will be starting in 40th, so the place differential upside is as good as it gets. On Draftkings, these two are the most expensive drivers on the slate due to their scoring potential. Fanduel kept them at the same price as previous races when they did not have this fantasy point scoring advantage, so it makes plenty of sense to have extremely heavy ownership in all formats. I’m not completely fading them on Draftkings, but my ownership will be pretty low as opposed to Fanduel. I actually like Bowyer a little bit more for tournaments, especially since he is a bit cheaper. Bowyer has been driving extremely aggressively which gives him solid DFS potential, but he will need to avoid another wreck. Johnson has also been in top form lately, and he has had more success at this track, so he is a fine play as well. Other good value options on Fanduel include Denny Hamlin and Bubba Wallace. Just hammer these guys – don’t overthink it.  

 

Draftkings – Martin Truex Jr. ($9,400) & Chase Elliott (9,700)

Despite the pricing changes that Draftkings made, there is still value to be found. This includes some of the top drivers: Martin Truex Jr. & Chase Elliott. They both have very manageable price tags on this slate, which means you won’t have to spend down too much. Truex Jr. & Elliott are both cheaper than Brad Keselowski, which doesn’t make much sense to me, even though Brad is coming off of a nice win. Both drivers have had a ton of success at this track and have looked excellent as of late. Elliott has been so close to winning recently, and Truex Jr. has also looked poised for a 1st place finish. These are the guys that I would look to have heavier ownership on Draftkings, rather than on Fanduel. They are the 1st and 3rd most expensive options on Fanduel, which would give your lineup a lot less flexibility, so I will have less of them on Fanduel.

 

Favorites on both sites – Tyler Reddick ($8,000 FD / $7,600 DK) & Kyle Busch ($13,700 FD / $10,500 DK)

Tyler Reddick has been trending in the right direction and finished in 8th place last time at this track. I like him a lot on this slate and I predict a top 10 finish. He will be starting in 13th place, which does limit his place differential upside, but I don’t think there is all that much risk of him losing points by falling back in the order. Reddick should stay competitive in this race. If he does, then he will be great value since his price is below the AVG/PLAYER on both sites.

Kyle Busch is on fire right now and has a chance to be the highest fantasy point scoring driver once again. He is starting in 17th, which means he is almost a guarantee for place differential points. He has dominated this track and will likely have a strong showing on Wednesday. He’s expensive per usual, especially on Fanduel, but I think that he will probably be worth the cost. Busch’s ability to pass other drivers means that he is always in the hunt, and if he can avoid more unnecessary penalties, then we might see him lock this race up.

 

Free Fanduel GPP Lineup

 
Free Draftkings GPP Lineup

 

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