LCS Summer Split – Betting Preview – Friday July 3rd, 2020

Betting Record (20-10, +4.70 units) – LCS 2020 Summer Split

Golden Guardians vs. 100 Thieves – 9:00PM ET

Cloud9 vs. CLG – 10:00PM ET

 

 

Golden Guardians (2-4) vs. 100 Thieves (1-5) – 9:00PM ET

Moneyline Odds: Golden Guardians (-125) | 100 Thieves (-110)

Bet: Golden Guardians Moneyline (-125) [2 UNITS]

Why I Like It: 100 Thieves finally made the changes that we’ve been waiting for! Meteos & Stunt are out of the lineup, and Contractz will take over as jungler while Poome steps in at support. Stunt is no longer on the roster, and 100T is exploring their options with the veteran Meteos. Also, Ryoma almost carried this team to a win over Team SoloMid last week, and I have faith that the mid laner can continue to develop and have impressive performances. This split may be a lost cause for 100 Thieves, but they can at least grow and move forward with a young, talented roster.

With that being said, it will take some time for this new 100 Thieves team to learn to play well together, and Golden Guardians is a solid opponent. At the moment, I think Golden Guardians have a decent edge over 100T, and I am surprised to see this game as a coin flip from a betting perspective. Golden Guardians just had a nice performance as a team in their win over FlyQuest, and they should have no problem winning this match-up, so moneyline looks like an excellent bet.

 

 

 

Cloud9 (6-0) vs. CLG (4-2) – 10:00PM ET

Moneyline Odds: Cloud9 (-1000) | Counter Logic Gaming (+500)

Bet: Over 22.5 Kills (-110) [1 UNIT]

Why I Like It: Cloud9 is just way too good for the LCS. They’ve absolutely dominated this split, and the numbers speak for themselves. My recommendation: Don’t bet against this team. Don’t even think about doing it. They could experiment in the draft and it wouldn’t matter. They’re better than everybody else and they know it. It’s easy to see potential in CLG because they’ve improved greatly this split and they’re in 2nd place at 4-2, but save your money and don’t even bother taking a shot on them.

These odds for Cloud9 give them an extremely high implied win probability of 90.9%, so I don’t really see any upside betting on moneyline. C9 is averaging 16 kills a game thus far, and I do see value on the over for this kill total. Counter Logic Gaming should be able to take some trades and keep this somewhat competitive, so I think the kill total is more than likely to go over 22.5 in this match-up.

 

*For recordkeeping purposes: I failed to include the (-115) odds for my bet on the -10.5 Kill Spread for Cloud9 in my last LCS blog*

 

 

 

 

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